30,000 for 2009 feels about right to me. The Challenger isn't going to be as popular in general because it's a 2-door, so for many or most buyers it'll probably be a second car or a weekend car. For some reason, people still buy the Mustang in droves (really though, what part of the sales are to rental car agencies??) but most sports cars seem to sell around 30k a year. Plus by 2009, people will be tightening their belts if we have a recession and oil prices should still be very high. And you'll have the new Camaro with which the Challenger will have to share sales. So 30,000 should be enough to find one at MSRP, but not so many as to see a Challenger 5-6 times a day. I hope.