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G.M/Chrysler merger talks

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Old 10-31-2008, 05:01 PM
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Default RE: G.M/Chrysler merger talks


The epitaphs have started..?? [&:]

Chrysler, R.I.P.
The demise of an iconic American automaker.

By Keith Naughton | Newsweek Web Exclusive
Oct 31, 2008 | Updated: 12:53 p.m. ET Oct 31, 2008

As Chrysler commemorated its first anniversary under the ownership of private-equity player Cerberus Capital Management this summer, CEO Bob Nardelli issued a five-page letter to rally the troops. After all, things hadn't really worked out as Cerberus expected when it paid $7.4 billion to take Chrysler off Daimler's hands in 2007. Rather than "restoring an American icon," as Cerberus chairman John Snow declared back then, Chrysler sunk even further into the muck as gas prices soared and showroom traffic came to a standstill. Chrysler's guzzler-heavy lineup of SUVs and trucks did worse than most, with sales plummeting 25 percent and profits nowhere to be found. Still, Nardelli, once an acolyte of GE's Jack Welch, oozed optimism when he closed his long letter with these words of encouragement: "Chrysler may be down, but we're a long way from out. It's time for us to prove the naysayers wrong with another one of our patented comebacks!"

But it looks like Chrysler has run out of comebacks. Shortly after Nardelli wrote those words, Cerberus entered talks with General Motors to unload its Motown mistake. Despite reports of an impasse, a deal still appears to be just around the corner—if GM and a growing chorus of politicians can convince the federal government to put up $10 billion to $15 billion to finance the two ailing automakers' marriage of convenience. That means Chrysler, after defying death for decades, will finally succumb. Analysts expect GM to slash 34,000 Chrysler jobs—half its workforce—and shut down production of all but a handful of its slow-selling models. "Chrysler as we know it will cease to exist very soon," says auto consultant Kimberly Rodriguez of Grant Thornton, which predicts half of Chrysler's 14 factories will close.

It's an ignominious end for the company of Lee Iacocca and once-hot models like the Dodge Viper, PT Cruiser and the Hemi 300C. Daimler, which paid $36 billion for Chrysler in 1998, put a fitting coda on its investment last week. It valued its remaining 20 percent stake in Chrysler at zero.

So why would GM want a worthless automaker? Well, it certainly isn't about Chrysler's cars. It's about the cash. Chrysler said it had $11.7 billion in the till this summer, and GM desperately needs that money to survive. It also wants to get rid of one of its crosstown rivals so it doesn't have to match the outrageous rebates Chrysler puts on its models any more. "The real reason GM is doing this is to get their hands on that cash," says auto economist Sean McAlinden of the Center for Automotive Research, "and to put their competitor down. It's called 'buying the business.' In that way, you save GM."

If this sounds ruthless, that's because it is. GM is backed into a corner, running out of money, time and options. Its sales have tanked, it has lost $18.8 billion so far this year, and bankers will no longer lend it a penny. It's burning through more than $1 billion a month, and Wall Street expects it to run out of money by the middle of next year. To raise funds, GM is desperately trying to sell assets—the Hummer line, its riverfront headquarters—but has found no takers. Chrysler's cash stash might be its last hope. To put that money to work for its own interests, though, GM has to hollow out Chrysler. "GM will be hard pressed to clean out the Chrysler organization as quickly as possible," says University of Michigan business professor Gerald Meyers, who was CEO of American Motors when Chrysler bought it in 1987. "It's a nasty job."

But GM won't just get quick cash from Chrysler. It will also acquire substantial liabilities. That $11.7 billion came to Cerberus in the form of loans from banks, which expects that debt to be paid, with interest. There's also a new fund that covers workers' health-care costs, to which GM will be expected to contribute $11 billion. Then there are all those workers and dealers who will have to be culled with billions in buyouts. Combined, the two companies will employ 205,000 workers in North America and have 22,000 dealers—half the total number of showrooms in the America.

To service these staggering obligations, GM is counting on taxpayer funding and might have to sell off bits of Chrysler to the highest bidder. Jeep, Chrysler's most precious possession, might fetch $2 billion, says McAlinden. (That's down from $5 billion a few years ago, when SUVs were still hip.) Nissan might be interested in buying the Dodge pickup-truck business. GM might want to hang onto Chrysler's profitable minivans, unless someone makes them a good offer. Chrysler's slow-selling cars aren't expected to attract much interest, but the automaker is already trying to sell its Viper sports-car line. "We'll see who is around to pick over the bones," says Meyers.

Why would the government want anything to do with this car carnage? The alternative is automotive Armageddon. Without the GM-Chrysler combo, its advocates argue, all of Detroit will tumble into bankruptcy. And that will take down thousands of parts suppliers, dealers and other businesses that depend on the American automakers. Even the Toyota, Honda and Nissan auto factories in America could shut down because their U.S. suppliers would go belly up. Total job loss: 2 million Americans, according to a study by the Center for Automotive Research. "A graceful exit for Chrysler is highly preferable to a catastrophe," says Cole. That's why the governors of six states just asked Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Fed chairman Ben Bernanke to take "immediate action" to bail out Detroit. The White House says it is talking to the automakers, but Paulson is reportedly reluctant to dip into the $700 billion in bailout money at his disposal. Rather, the administration is working to speed delivery of the $25 billion authorized by Congress last month to help automakers retool to make fuel-efficient cars.

In order for Detroit to live, by this reasoning, then Chrysler must die. Before it goes, though, it is worth having its illustrious, tempestuous, life flash before our eyes. It burst on the scene at the 1924 New York Auto Show, where former railroad mechanic Walter P. Chrysler wowed the crowds by introducing the Chrysler Six, a mechanical marvel with a powerful six-cylinder engine. After adding Dodge, Plymouth and De Soto to his empire, Chrysler overtook Henry Ford in the 1930s to become America's No. 2 automaker. During World War II, Chrysler cranked out 18,000 Sherman tanks, the main combat vehicle of the Allied forces. In 1952, Chrysler produced the Jupiter missile that carried two monkeys into space. In the muscle-car era, Chrysler produced memorable models like Plymouth Road Runner and the Dodge Challenger (which just came back to life). And finally, there was Iacocca, who engineered his K-car driven turnaround in the 1980s, paying off his government loans seven years early and with a $400 million profit to taxpayers.

I tried to reach Iacocca to hear his epitaph for the company he once saved. But his secretary says he doesn't want to talk about it. Friends, though, say he's saddened by this turn of events. Meyers, who once sold his company to Iacocca, sees no irony or even much similarity in Chrysler's fate today. "Back then you had a very successful company, Chrysler, buying into an unsuccessful company, AMC," says Meyers. "Now you have one unsuccessful company buying another unsuccessful company."

In the end, Chrysler lost its way. It survived wars, recessions and a depression. But after nine years of German ownership and one year in private equity's grip, Chrysler had become a shadow of the feisty company that did its best work when its back was against the wall. Instead, insiders say, the new product pipeline has run dry and now workers just fear for their future. There is neither the will, nor the wherewithal to mount that final comeback Nardelli asked for. "There's no economic reason for Chrysler to exist anymore," says Meyers. "This time, it's done for."
Old 11-03-2008, 12:57 PM
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Default RE: G.M/Chrysler merger talks

Chrysler has run out of comebacks? It took Lee Iacocca more than just one year to turn Chrysler around. The people running Chrysler inherited a lot of flawed models, they barely have had the chance to do anything that earth shattering. In fact, I think they have done a good job considering what they were given. The LX cars have improved quite a bit under their management. Fuel economy has improved significantly in several of their models. The Ram they are releasing is the best attempt Dodge has produced since 1994. The Challenger is selling. The Charger and 300 are still selling. The minivans although they could use some improvements are selling. The fact is they just need more time.

The thing that I question is this philosophy that if Chrysler and GM get together that it will solve all of their problems. This part of the reason why GM is in the shape that they are in. They bought Saab and that didn't fix anything nor did the arrangement with Daewoo. GM's arrangements with Isuzu, Suzuki, and Toyota didn't equal success for them. Why would this be any different?

I also think that in the case of what Meyers had to say, he is "jumping the gun." We don't know how Chrysler will do once Chrysler's new V6 engine line is produced. One of Chrysler's key weaknesses will be addressed by these engines as they are rumored to be very powerful, very fuel efficient, and very refined and quiet and cost effective to build. Chrysler has also been investing more into interior designs and the new Ram is a fine example that it appears to be paying off. I think Chrysler is on the verge of bouncing back. We just need to give them more time.
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Old 11-03-2008, 02:02 PM
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Default RE: G.M/Chrysler merger talks


I think there are a couple of important factors that aren"t addressed in your post though RLSH. The biggest one being they are an investment company. As such I don"t think they ever intended to get in the car manufacturing business. I believe it was purely an investment opportunity... buy low... sell high. The sudden retreat in aut sales caught them off guard and they are probably just wanting to get their proverbial albatrose off thier neck. A cut and run manuever. I don"t think they ever planned on having Chrysler this long when they inked the deal.

As for thier portfolio as investment managers it is probably more than just a little worrysome that there is a potential for bankruptcy at the end of the road. From a professional standpoint a bankruptcy is probably one of the last things they would like to have on thier watch.

If it was just a matter of playing the cards your dealt and making the best hand you can I would have to agree that there is a great opportunity to save Chrysler... but I am not so sure they ever had that in mind.
Old 11-03-2008, 02:16 PM
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Default RE: G.M/Chrysler merger talks


ORIGINAL: mopar2ya


I think there are a couple of important factors that aren"t addressed in your post though RLSH. The biggest one being they are an investment company. As such I don"t think they ever intended to get in the car manufacturing business. I believe it was purely an investment opportunity... buy low... sell high. The sudden retreat in aut sales caught them off guard and they are probably just wanting to get their proverbial albatrose off thier neck. A cut and run manuever. I don"t think they ever planned on having Chrysler this long when they inked the deal.

As for thier portfolio as investment managers it is probably more than just a little worrysome that there is a potential for bankruptcy at the end of the road. From a professional standpoint a bankruptcy is probably one of the last things they would like to have on thier watch.

If it was just a matter of playing the cards your dealt and making the best hand you can I would have to agree that there is a great opportunity to save Chrysler... but I am not so sure they ever had that in mind.
Companies like this are hard to read. They seem to have their hand in about any industry they can get their hands into for a reasonable price. Do I believe they were going to hold on to them forever? No; however, I believe they are trying to get rid of them prematurely. Given how far they have come in just one year despite the market and considering the money they have available yet to resolve the issues, it would be a mistake to get rid of them now. They could probably give it a few more years while developing a competitive mid-sized offering with their new Phoenix engine line, a new compact, and drop the models that aren't worth keeping. In this scenario, they could fetch a much better price than they can with this arrangement. Considering the market and who they are considering selling to, they risk loosing and that certainly would hurt their reputation as well as their pocket book.
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Old 11-05-2008, 12:29 PM
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Default RE: G.M/Chrysler merger talks

And so the rollercoaster ride continues for GM.....

Wednesday, November 5, 2008
GM will announce 'important changes' on Friday
Robert Snell / The Detroit News

DETROIT General Motors Corp. is expected to announce "important changes" to its automotive operations Friday when the automaker releases third-quarter financial results, according to an internal e-mail obtained by The Detroit News.

According to the e-mail sent to company executives Monday, CEO Rick Wagoner and President and Chief Operating Officer Fritz Henderson will announce changes to employees at 11 a.m. Friday that address challenges "brought on by the volatile global economic situation."

"Clearly given the challenges the industry is facing, we're probably going to have to make additional adjustments," GM spokesman Tom Wilkinson said today. "It's a very challenging time right now."

It is not spelled out in the e-mail what specific changes might be announced. But late last month, Wagoner and Henderson wrote in another letter to executives that the automaker will have to cut more white-collar jobs later this year and early next year, including involuntary layoffs, suspend the company match in employee 401(k) retirement accounts and make other benefit cuts.

GM's sales in the United States are down 20.3 percent this year and the automaker has lost approximately $70 billion since 2004.

GM and other automakers are coping with the lowest U.S. sales market in 17 years.

On Monday, GM reported its October sales slumped 45.1 percent to 168,719 vehicles, the steepest slide among Detroit's Big Three automakers.

The worsening auto market has led GM to enter negotiations to acquire rival Chrysler LLC from majority owner Cerberus Capital Management LP. One deal on the table is for GM to sell a majority of its 49 percent interest in GMAC Financial Services in exchange for Chrysler. Cerberus, which owns 51 percent of GMAC, could keep a small stake in a combined GM-Chrysler.
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